Climate Change and Human (Im)Mobility: The Role of Compound and Cascading Risks

The 2C-RISK project analyzes the interplay of climatic and non-climatic risks on global human mobility to inform policies that protect vulnerable populations amid climate change.

Subsidie
€ 1.499.933
2025

Projectdetails

Introduction

The 2C-RISK project is the first to comprehensively analyze the interrelated effects of compound and cascading climatic and non-climatic risks on human mobility worldwide and to pioneer the empirical assessment and quantification of climate-related immobility.

Implications of Climate Change

Climate change can have major implications for human mobility through its impacts on security, livelihoods, health, and well-being, potentially leading to increased displacement and migration. At the same time, not everyone affected decides to move, and climatic risks and related impacts can also lead to heightened immobility.

Drivers of (Im)Mobility

Patterns in (im)mobility are crucially shaped by a range of drivers and moderators influencing who becomes mobile, when, and why. While the multicausal nature of climate-related (im)mobility has been recognized, there are considerable gaps in the understanding of how climatic risks interact with other compound drivers and risks in influencing mobility outcomes.

Importance of Interdependencies

Considering risks in isolation may miss crucial interdependencies between different risk types and related impacts over time and space. Exploring these interdependencies can fill in the missing links as to when and why households become mobile under climatic stress, and when and why they decide or are forced to stay put despite difficult circumstances.

Objectives of the 2C-RISK Project

To this end, the 2C-RISK project:

  1. Provides novel estimates of the effects of compound and cascading climatic and non-climatic risks and impacts on mobility outcomes.
  2. Advances empirical research on climate-related immobility.
  3. Employs innovative nowcasting and projection methods to explore potential changes in mobility in the short and long term.

Contribution to Policy

By laying novel foundations for understanding the conditions under which climate-related (im)mobility occurs and by identifying populations in situations of heightened distress, the 2C-RISK project will contribute to more informed policies aimed at safeguarding the well-being of populations in a changing climate.

Financiële details & Tijdlijn

Financiële details

Subsidiebedrag€ 1.499.933
Totale projectbegroting€ 1.499.933

Tijdlijn

Startdatum1-3-2025
Einddatum28-2-2030
Subsidiejaar2025

Partners & Locaties

Projectpartners

  • INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSEpenvoerder

Land(en)

Austria

Vergelijkbare projecten binnen European Research Council

ERC STG

MANUNKIND: Determinants and Dynamics of Collaborative Exploitation

This project aims to develop a game theoretic framework to analyze the psychological and strategic dynamics of collaborative exploitation, informing policies to combat modern slavery.

€ 1.497.749
ERC STG

Elucidating the phenotypic convergence of proliferation reduction under growth-induced pressure

The UnderPressure project aims to investigate how mechanical constraints from 3D crowding affect cell proliferation and signaling in various organisms, with potential applications in reducing cancer chemoresistance.

€ 1.498.280
ERC STG

Uncovering the mechanisms of action of an antiviral bacterium

This project aims to uncover the mechanisms behind Wolbachia's antiviral protection in insects and develop tools for studying symbiont gene function.

€ 1.500.000
ERC STG

The Ethics of Loneliness and Sociability

This project aims to develop a normative theory of loneliness by analyzing ethical responsibilities of individuals and societies to prevent and alleviate loneliness, establishing a new philosophical sub-field.

€ 1.025.860

Vergelijkbare projecten uit andere regelingen

ERC COG

Filling the Behavioral Gap in Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation

The project aims to enhance flood risk assessments by integrating human behavior into policies, using demonstrators from four cities to improve resilience and reduce losses from disasters.

€ 1.998.950
ERC COG

Choice, necessity or chance? Understanding behaviouR chanGE iN Transport

URGENT aims to enhance understanding of mobility behavior change through interdisciplinary analysis of individual and contextual factors, using longitudinal data to inform effective transport intervention strategies.

€ 1.936.613
ERC ADG

Enabling politically sensitive climate change impact assessments for the 21st century

POLIMPACT aims to enhance climate change impact assessments by integrating political dimensions and economic disruptions into SSP-RCP scenarios to better quantify social risks like poverty and hunger.

€ 2.497.678
ERC COG

Migration trajectories, natural experiments and effects of small-area contexts on health: a privacy-preserving linkage study of routine and primary data among resettlement refugees

INTERSECT aims to analyze the health impacts of migration trajectories by leveraging innovative data methods to inform policies for refugees and enhance public health understanding.

€ 1.999.990