SubsidieMeestersFostering social tipping dynamics to Accelerate Sustainability Transitions
The FAST project aims to model and explain social tipping dynamics in energy transitions using a novel combination of agent-based and diffusion modeling to enhance sustainability efforts.
Projectdetails
Introduction
Staying within a maximum global warming of 1.5 degrees requires an acceleration of the transition to a low carbon society. Current theory views such sustainability transitions as inevitably slow as they require interdependent changes throughout socio-technical systems.
Challenges to Current Theory
The observation that energy transition scenarios systematically underestimate the diffusion of key technologies challenges this view. Existing models that form the basis for energy transition scenarios do not include the positive feedbacks resulting from the interactions between civil society and energy transitions.
Importance of Interactions
Yet these interactions have been identified as important drivers and barriers of energy transitions, and as crucial in triggering the social tipping dynamics that can accelerate the energy transition. Social tipping dynamics in energy transitions occur when a small change or intervention has a large effect on emission reductions.
Knowledge Gaps
To date, some examples of social tipping dynamics have been identified, but both a systematic understanding of the mechanisms underlying social tipping dynamics and an evaluation of their potential policy leverage is missing.
Project Objective
The overall objective of the FAST project is to explain and model social tipping dynamics and interventions in energy transitions.
Methodology
This requires a model that explains how the social factors influencing sustainability transitions scale up to realize social tipping dynamics. To this end, I will use a novel combination of:
- Bottom-up agent-based modelling
- Top-down diffusion modelling
This approach will capture the interactions in socio-technical systems that create tipping dynamics.
Bridging Fields
This will bridge the qualitative field of sustainability transitions and the quantitative field of energy transitions modelling.
Research Team
A team consisting of the PI, 3 PhD students, a postdoc, and a research assistant will conduct the proposed study over five years.
Significance
This is the first study that systematically integrates social tipping dynamics in quantitative models of energy transitions.
Financiële details & Tijdlijn
Financiële details
| Subsidiebedrag | € 1.999.995 |
| Totale projectbegroting | € 1.999.995 |
Tijdlijn
| Startdatum | 1-9-2022 |
| Einddatum | 31-8-2027 |
| Subsidiejaar | 2022 |
Partners & Locaties
Projectpartners
- TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITEIT EINDHOVENpenvoerder
Land(en)
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This project aims to develop a novel methodology for predicting and controlling multilevel cascading transitions in psycho-social systems through mathematical modeling and empirical analysis.
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This project aims to develop frameworks for sustainable post-growth policies and provisioning systems that enhance human well-being within planetary boundaries through empirical research and community engagement.
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