SubsidieMeestersClimate Policy vs Economic Growth: Opinions, Models, and Novel Strategies
This project analyzes how growth concerns influence support for climate policies among stakeholders and develops models to identify strategies that enhance policy acceptance through agrowth approaches.
Projectdetails
Introduction
Climate change has revived the debate on growth vs. environment, which may intensify in the coming years. This project studies to what extent concerns about economic growth, ranging from pro- to anti-growth, hamper social-political support for ambitious climate policy, and how this can be amended.
Methodology
Using surveys, experiments, and interviews, the project assesses whether beliefs about growth vs. environment affect policy opinions of distinct stakeholders, including:
- Voters
- Policymakers
- Journalists
It also examines if this is moderated by preferences regarding instrument types, such as standards, taxes, or subsidies.
Role of Information
The project further tests the role of information by comparing the effect of distinct beyond-GDP metrics on views about growth vs. climate policy.
Paris Agreement and National Policies
In addition, it studies how growth concerns relate to the design of pledges in the Paris Agreement, as these demarcate national climate policies.
Modelling Approach
Based on collected data and derived insights, the project undertakes system-dynamics and agent-based modelling to study the co-dynamics of climate-policy design and support. This will create models of the “dynamic policy-support cycle” (DPSC), comprising:
- Policy design
- Economic and emission impacts
- Opinion dynamics (i.e., support/resistance)
- Policy adaptation
It involves comparing growth strategies and climate policies using distinct beyond-GDP metrics and connecting this to stakeholder opinion dynamics.
Exploring Agrowth Strategies
Informed by the model results, the project explores whether an agrowth strategy, which is cautious towards both economic and climate risks, can increase support for ambitious climate policy. Given stakeholder diversity, interviews will be performed to decide on tailored strategies in this respect.
Related Concepts
Similar proposals to agrowth, notably under the label of “post-growth,” will be examined as well.
Ultimate Aim
The ultimate aim is to learn about dynamic packages with climate-policy instruments and a/post-growth measures that culminate in majority support for ambitious climate policy.
Financiële details & Tijdlijn
Financiële details
| Subsidiebedrag | € 2.454.000 |
| Totale projectbegroting | € 2.454.000 |
Tijdlijn
| Startdatum | 1-1-2024 |
| Einddatum | 31-12-2028 |
| Subsidiejaar | 2024 |
Partners & Locaties
Projectpartners
- UNIVERSITAT AUTONOMA DE BARCELONApenvoerder
Land(en)
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A Post Growth Deal
This project aims to develop frameworks for sustainable post-growth policies and provisioning systems that enhance human well-being within planetary boundaries through empirical research and community engagement.
Great Expectations: Macroeconomic Implications of Forecasting Behavior
This project aims to enhance understanding of expectation formation's economic impact through empirical research and a new theoretical framework, guiding policy decisions and communication strategies.
Distributional Effects of Environmental Policies
The DEEP project aims to analyze how pre-existing disparities influence adaptation to environmental policies, focusing on transportation electrification and renewable energy subsidies to inform equity and effectiveness in policy design.
Climate Citizenship: Infrastructures, Environments, and Democracy in the Era of Climate Change
This project explores how green infrastructure adaptations to climate change reshape local social contracts and citizenship through ethnographic and collaborative ecological research.
Climate-related Beliefs and Low-Carbon Transition Dynamics
The BELIEFS project aims to develop a dynamic model to analyze firms' expectations and their impact on investment decisions, facilitating effective policies for a smooth transition to a net-zero society.
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